Eric Schmidt
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Former head of Google
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Claims by Eric Schmidt (20 of 502)
Large language models will move from language-to-language models to text-to-action models, where users can say what they want and the system writes code (typically Python) to execute it, enabling anyone to build custom search engines, applications, and software without coding knowledge.
To manage AI disruption and create positive change, one should found companies and implement solutions rather than merely discuss and analyze problems, because action creates actual change while intellectual analysis and writing, though valuable, do not translate into material change.
The most important imminent change is that any human—good, bad, old, young—will be able to imagine something and command an AI to build it, fundamentally transforming human organization because it removes the constraint of technical skill and distributes creative capacity to the entire population.
LLMs are particularly effective at problems with large amounts of well-tokenizable data and a clear hierarchical structure, such as protein folding in biology, but less suitable for physics problems like Einstein's general relativity which require creative insight into novel conceptual relationships not present in training data.
For specialized physics problems, physicists are using diffusion models and other non-LLM techniques rather than large language models, indicating that the appropriate tools are problem-specific and that physicists are driving the computational approach rather than computer scientists retrofitting LLMs.
Large frontier AI models cost $100-250 million to train, with most cost being electricity; only 50-60 such training runs have occurred globally due to the enormous data, infrastructure, and engineering requirements, creating a bottleneck that limits how many frontier models can exist.
China is immediately copying every open-source AI model published globally because of US training restrictions on China, creating a parallel research track where China builds applications (like video/presentation generation) with already-published models, demonstrating the limits of open-source control.
A confidential demo showed that LLMs can create synthetic social media profiles with specific political beliefs and then generate 500 variations of different people with consistent similar beliefs, creating coordinated inauthentic networks that don't actually exist—a capability that was previously thought impossible.
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