Cass Sunstein's approach to risk (saying COVID risk is low relative to falling from ladders) is dangerous because it confuses additive and multiplicative processes—Sunstein mixed a multiplicative process (exponential disease spread) with additive casualty statistics.

causalpending

Speaker

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Evidence Quote

sunstein was advocating you know was was advocating ignoring covid because he said look how the risk are low he he he mixed a multiplicative process yeah with a uh additive one

Source

Nassim Taleb — Meditations on ExtremistanJoseph Noel Walker
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:44:21 AM

My Notes

Loading notes...