Taleb wrote a memo with Yanir Marin in late January 2020 concerned about pandemic risk, and it was shared with someone in the White House, but the administration's focus was on monetary stimulus rather than border controls, testing, and quarantine—mechanisms that would actually reduce tail risk.
factualpending
Speaker
Nassim Nicholas TalebEvidence Quote
“but when we start seeing what's happening in China realized that there was a problem and then I start looking at at at ways to how do you mitigate something that's fat tailed you lower the scale how do you lower the scale by by by cutting off the distribution of the parts MH okay reduced connectivity... it's very strange that the Trump Administration did not they they I mean they spent all this money all right on giv money handing out money all of that it didn't hit him that that you're most effective by having uh controls at the border”
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:44:21 AM
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