Mega-fund investors function as 'free rolls'—GPs get paid regardless of outcomes, treating the carry (20% of profits) as a call option, so they win if any one of their portfolio companies becomes a 10x+ power law outcome, but don't lose anything if the other investments fail.
factualpending
Speaker
Brad GerstnerEvidence Quote
“there's a phrase in poker called a free roll they may view it as a free roll I'm getting rich no matter a loty ticket it's exactly call option”
Source
Ep19. State of Venture, AI Scaling, Elections | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Jamin Ball— Bg2 PodCreated: 8/10/2026, 10:49:01 PM
My Notes
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