A counter-argument to Mearsheimer's position is that nuclear weapons make war less likely even in multipolar systems because even regional conflicts risk escalation to nuclear level; however, Mearsheimer argues nuclear escalation scenarios over ocean areas (South China Sea) might not be equivalent to nuclear war on land, so this logic may not fully protect against war.

factualpending

Speaker

John Mearsheimer

Evidence Quote

nuclear weapons makes War less likely but...you can even imagine a war in the South China Sea where nuclear weapons are employed

Source

Ukraine, Taiwan and The True Cause of War | John MearsheimerJohn Anderson Media
Created: 8/12/2026, 5:54:57 PM

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