You can predict the future by combining simple curve extrapolation and first-principles reasoning with empirical knowledge and intuition, but most people resist the counterintuitive conclusions this process produces, saying 'that can't happen, it would be too weird' rather than accepting what the reasoning shows.
normativepending
Speaker
Dario AmodeiEvidence Quote
“there's this temptation to believe, oh, you know, that can't happen. It would be too weird...over and over again, just extrapolating the simple curve...leads you to these counterintuitive conclusions”
Source
The AI Tsunami is Here & Society Isn't Ready | Dario Amodei x Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF— Nikhil KamathCreated: 8/12/2026, 10:28:45 PM
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