Europe faces an existential challenge, particularly France: they have been free-riding off US security guarantees, now must increase defense spending, and face a structural tax burden and lack of dynamic capital markets that will force difficult choices on spending and pensions that they haven't had to make before.

forecastpending

Speaker

Kenneth Rogoff

Evidence Quote

I think this is a real existential challenge to the French state

Source

Kenneth Rogoff on Monetary Moves, Fiscal Gambits, and Classical Chess | Conversations with TylerMercatus Center
Created: 8/11/2026, 7:10:38 AM

My Notes

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